Cyclone Tim

[gabba]

Cyclone Tim has formed off the coast of North Queensland. Currently a Category 2 storm, it is expected to travel ESE over the next 12-24 hours.

Further details follow:

Trackmap:
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65004.shtml

BOM:

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE
AT 0700UTC 14 MARCH 2013

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Tim was centred within 15 nautical miles of
 latitude fourteen decimal nine south (14.9S)
 longitude one hundred and forty nine decimal nine east (149.9E)
Recent movement : east southeast at 15 knots
Maximum winds   : 50 knots
Central pressure: 984 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre increasing to 60 knots by 0600 UTC 15
March.

Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with very rough to high
seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 100 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and developing moderate to heavy swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 14 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.6 south 152.2 east
                        Central pressure 981 hPa.
          Winds to 60 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 15 March: Within 65 nautical miles of 16.2 south 153.8 east
                        Central pressure 981 hPa.
          Winds to 60 knots near centre.

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[gabba]

Cyclone Tim doesn't look to be sticking around for long, with it weakening to a category 1 storm over the past 24 hours. By Midday today, it is expected to be a tropical low. Final update for Tim follows:

From BOM

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Tim was centred within 40 nautical miles of
 latitude sixteen decimal nine south (16.9S)
 longitude one hundred and fifty four decimal five east (154.5E)
Recent movement : southeast at 8 knots
Maximum winds   : 40 knots
Central pressure: 996 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 70 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 40 knots near the centre easing to 30 knots by 1200 UTC 16
March.

Winds above 34 knots within 70 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 16 March: Within 55 nautical miles of 17.4 south 154.5 east
                        Central pressure 997 hPa.
          Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 16 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 17.8 south 154.0 east
                        Central pressure 1000 hPa.
          Winds to 30 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite using SAC1241
through Land Earth Station Burum 312 [or 212 as appropriate] via Perth.

[Weather Display]

its had a few re ignitions today, LOL

[gabba]

Yes - interesting it has almost double backed on itself, so obviously still some energy there to keep it going. Currently predicting to be category 1 for another 12 hours or so, but as I pretty much said that last night, I'm not taking bets tonight 

[Weather Display]

its firing on another cylander again now