Weekend Forecast 4th - 5th August 2012

[Te Puke Weather]

Issued by The MetService

Saturday
North Island, rain or showers in the north and east, a few showers in most other places, but mainly fine in the southwest. South Island, rain or showers in the north and east, dry in the west and south.

Sunday
North Island, rain or showers in the north and east, a few showers in most other places, but mainly fine in the southwest. South Island, rain or showers in the north and east, dry in the west and south.

Chatham Islands
Cloud increasing and a few showers developing on Friday, with freshening northeasterlies. Cloudy periods Saturday with fresh northeasterlies. Cloudy on Sunday with strong easterlies.

From Weather Watch

Sneak peak for the weekend's weather

This weekend the North Island will continue to get showers at times but there will also be sunny spells and dry weather in the mix, perhaps a focus on showers being a little more frequent in the northeast and along the east coast north of Hawkes Bay. The airflow will be from the northeast, temperatures will be reasonably mild with frosty conditions very unlikely.

On Saturday in the South Island many places look to be cloudy in a northeasterly airflow. Drizzle patches at times with a chance of rain about the Kaikoura Coast, long dry spells also in many regions. Southland and South Westland should remain largely dry though with sunny spells.

On Sunday damp conditions are more likely to shift to the West Coast and about Nelson, drier out east as the flow turns more northerly.

Tomorrow is looking very much the same as it has been today about the country, a bit wetter north of Hawkes Bay along the east coast and about the Bay of Plenty in the evening however.

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[JennyLeez]

For Wairoa, Mahia Peninsula, Mahanga, Opoutama, Tuai, Ruakituri, Te Reinga, Nuhaka, Awamate, Raupunga, Mohaka and Tutira

Friday Night
Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 10C. Breezy. Winds from the NE at 15 to 25 km/h. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 1.5 mm possible.


Saturday
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 13C. Breezy. Winds from the ENE at 15 to 20 km/h. Chance of rain 40% with rainfall amounts near 0.8 mm possible.


Saturday Night
Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 10C. Winds from the East at 10 to 15 km/h. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 3.8 mm possible.


Sunday
Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 12C. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 km/h.


Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy. Low of 6C. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 km/h.


Wairoa 5 Day forecast

[JennyLeez]

ISSUED BY MetService
8:13 am 03-Aug-2012

Heavy rain continuing in the hills and ranges of Gisborne and Hawkes Bay through to Saturday morning
A slow-moving low to the west of the North Island is directing a moist east to northeast flow over the country.
Rain is forecast to continue in many eastern areas due to this flow, with further heavy falls expected about the hills and ranges of Gisborne and Hawkes Bay through to Saturday morning. A further 80 to 120mm of rain is possible in these areas during this time.
People in these regions are advised to be aware of rising rivers and streams and watch for localised surface flooding and slips.
The warning for the hills and ranges of the Tararua District and the ranges of Nelson west of Motueka is downgraded to a Watch, as no widespread heavy falls are expected, although further rain is likely

[Derek]

Looking at Ogimet charts, the low that's been a real bother for the week does appear to finally weakening but it's not totally easing out of the picture yet.

I don't think anywhere is going to get really good weather - there's still plenty of rain and showers in places (look for the shades of green and blue overlay on the charts). But there's also a good chance that plenty of places will escape and have at least one dry day over the weekend - just may have to put up with some cloud though.

New Plymouth gets my vote for the place to be on Saturday - a fine and sunny morning should last through to mid afternoon there...

The charts attached are for Saturday and Sunday midday (but I've looked at other times around them also to get an idea of changes)

Saturday
North Island - rain or showers in Auckland region and the east most of the day, and developing further north and for Taranaki later in the day.
South Island - some light rain or showers in the morning clearing in the north and down the east coast during the day, also possibly some in Westland and Fiordland regions.
Sunday
North Island - still looks like predominantly wet weather for the northern regions.
South Island - again some wet stuff in the north for Nelson Marlborough perhaps, and in South Westland.

[TokWW]

Thanks Derek!

From my Wxsim analysis for Sth Waikato/Tokoroa

This indicates mainly dry but cloudy weather with fog in the calmer cool mornings.  Warmer on Monday.

Tonight
 Partly to mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly clear after midnight. Patchy light fog in the evening, then light to moderate fog after midnight. Low 2°. Wind east-southeast around 6 kph.

Saturday
 Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Light to moderate fog in the morning. High 14°. Wind east-northeast around 9 kph.
 
Saturday night
 Partly cloudy. Patchy light fog. Low 3°. Wind east around 6 kph.

Sunday
 Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy in the afternoon. Patchy light fog in the morning. High 14°. Wind east-northeast around 4 kph.

Sunday night
 Mostly cloudy to cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. A slight chance of rain. Low 6°. Wind northeast near calm in the evening, becoming east-southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Precipitation mostly less than 2 mm.

Monday
 Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. Patchy light fog in the morning. High 16°. UV index up to 2. Wind west-northwest near calm in the morning, becoming 6 kph in the afternoon.

[OhauitiWeather]

The east coast of the North Island is looking likely to receive rain on Saturday, also from East Cape right up north through to the eastern coastline of Northland should expect showers, the odd sunny period too. Dry at first in western areas however showers start to trickle in by evening.



The South Island is looking cloudy also, expect showers in Nelson and along the east coast clearing in some places in the afternoon particularly in Canterbury and Otago. A few showers on the West Coast becoming more widespread about South Westland by evening. Dry in Southland for much of the day. Winds will be breezy from the northeast.

Temperatures of 14 degrees on average can be expected about the coastlines south of Gisborne and Taranaki, further north expect high’s of between 15 and 17 degrees. Cooler in the Central North Island with high’s of 13 expected. High’s of 13 for most in the South Island, a degree or two warmer about Marlborough, Nelson and Buller.

Homepage image / Saturday 4th August midday rain map, weathermap.co.nz

By weather analyst Aaron Wilkinson, WeatherWatch.co.nz
http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/outlook-tomorrow