This week's weather is again fairly easy to anticipate and Weather-Watch Head Forecaster, Philip Duncan, is probably pretty accurate with his forecast.
To reiterate - the High is slow moving and even stationary reaching over the North Island but centred well to the east of the North Island, however the Tasman Sea is becoming complex with new Lows forming in the mixed valley between the passing on High to the East and one large one covering the whole of Australia again. These Lows are cojoined with a band of rain from the subtropical Queensland Coast, diagonal down through Stewart Island and south of the Chathams.
On Wednesday, there is still a steady Nor-East airstream onto the top half of the North Island bringing some cloud over the next few days especially in the cool morning air and at night. The South Island will have Northerlies on the West Coast strong south of Haast. Cloud and some rain will develope south of there with Nor westers and in Southland with westerlies. The rest of NZ will be mainly fine, cool in the mornings, mild northerlies to nor-westers through the days. The SI East Coast may have dry Sou-Westers off the ranges, and warm temps.
Thursday will see the High moving further away and the NI winds tend more northerly with stronger Nor-Westers through Cook Strait. These winds will be more westerly onto the SI West Coast. Only occasional showers will affect that coast, depending on timing of cold fronts if any precede the Low now forming close to Fiordland with another sister Low, north in centre of the Tasman level with Northland. A heavy band of rain is still to the west of both islands due to hit on Friday.
On Friday this heavy band of showers in a cold front hitting the NI, will have strong North- North-west winds turning Westerly as it passes, strong in Cook Strait. Westerlies will prevail over the SI West Coast with a more Sou-West continuing direction inland to the East of the main divide and over the Canterbury Plains. Rain will ease in the North Island by nightfall. However, further cold fronts may whistle over.
Saturday will see strong West to Sou-West winds over the whole country with further spells of cloud and damp weather over most of NZ. The winds will turn more southerly over the South Island and temperatures will drop. The winds again will be strong to gale force in Cook strait, possibly turning more Nor-Westerly through there.
Sunday will have a similar forecast again but the winds will be stronger to Storm Force along the Fiordland and Southland Coasts. Heavy bands of rain will pass in cold fronts up over the South Island during the day with some passing over the North Island too, with more Westerly winds, gale force around Taranaki. Northland may get an evening cold front passing over with rain. The West Coast will receive very heavy rainfall amounts south of Westport.
Monday will see clearing weather in the North Island with Sou-Westers and still showers over much of the South Island with cold, strong southerly winds.
NZ Forecasts gleaned from MetVUW 5 Day forecasts here:
http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast.php?type=rain®ion=nz&noofdays=5 Also from
www.weatheronline.co.nz and
http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/aus.fcst.html