Weather In The USA 2023-up

[Mark]

Hannah Fingerhut
The Detroit News
Fri, 04 Jul 2025 18:54 UTC
Pictured: The flooded Guadalupe River in central Texas this morning
The flooded Guadalupe River in central Texas this morning
Multiple deaths have been reported in Texas after heavy rain caused flash flooding, while search teams used boats to conduct rescues Friday as fast-moving water threatened riverfront communities near wildlife habitats and campgrounds.

As much as 10 inches (25 centimeters) of heavy rain fell in just a few hours overnight in central Kerr County, causing flash flooding of the Guadalupe River.

Judge Rob Kelly, the chief elected official in the county, confirmed fatalities from the flooding and dozens of water rescues so far. He said he was advised not to cite specific numbers and said authorities are still working to identify those whose lives were lost.

"Most of them, we don't know who they are," Kelly said during a news conference. "One of them was completely naked, he didn't have any ID on him at all. We're trying to get the identity of these folks, but we don't have it yet."

Officials conducted dozens of rescues, and the emergency response continued as an unknown number or people remained unaccounted for, Kelly said.







A flood watch issued Thursday afternoon estimated isolated amounts up to 7 inches (17 centimeters) of rising water. That shifted to a flood warning for at least 30,000 people overnight.

When asked about the suddenness of the flash flooding overnight, Kelly said "we do not have a warning system" and that "we didn't know this flood was coming," even as local reporters pointed to the warnings and pushed him for answers about why more precautions weren't taken.





"Rest assured, no one knew this kind of flood was coming," he said. "We have floods all the time. This is the most dangerous river valley in the United States."

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said the state was providing resources to Hill Country communities dealing with the flooding, including in Kerrville, Ingram and Hunt.

"I urge Texans to heed guidance from state and local officials and monitor local forecasts to avoid driving into flooded areas," Abbott said in a statement.

The Guadalupe's river gauge at the unincorporated community of Hunt, where the river forks, recorded a 22 foot rise (6.7 meters) in just about two hours, according to Bob Fogarty, meteorologist with the National Weather Service's Austin/San Antonio office. Fogarty said the gauge failed after recording a level of 29 and a half feet (9 meters).

"We think the river's higher than that," Fogarty said. "The gauge is completely underwater."

The riverfront communities include several camps, wildlife habitats and campgrounds. Texas Game Wardens, part of the state parks and wildlife agency, said on Facebook that search and rescue teams are conducting rescues throughout the region and sending more boats to help.

"This is the kind of thing that will catch you unaware," Fogarty said. "The water's moving so fast, you're not going to recognize how bad it is until it's on top of you."
https://www.sott.net/article/500470-24-dead-and-25-missing-in-Kerr-County-Texas-as-flash-flooding-hits-10-inches-of-rain-in-just-a-few-hours-Guadalupe-River-rises-22-FEET-in-2-hours-UPDATE

[Mark]

Joe Edwards
Newsweek
Wed, 09 Jul 2025 12:45 UTC
A baseball game was delayed due to inclement weather in Chicago on Sunday.
© David Banks/AP
A baseball game was delayed due to inclement weather in Chicago on Sunday.
More than a month's worth of rain fell on Chicago in 90 minutes on Tuesday evening, according to the National Weather Service (NWS).

"There were numerous reports of flooded viaducts, several reports of water rescues, and a few reports of flooded basements," the NWS said.

A flash flood warning was issued until 12.45 a.m. on Wednesday for Chicago and Cicero.



Why It Matters

The extreme rainfall in Chicago follows deadly floods in Texas' Hill Country last week that have led to the deaths of more than 100 people.

In New Mexico, flash floods also killed at least three people on Tuesday, including two children in the resort village of Ruidoso, according to Reuters.

What To Know

According to the NWS forecast office in Chicago, more than five inches of rain fell within the space of 90 minutes west of the United Center on Tuesday evening.

This exceeds the largest average amount of monthly precipitation that the city receives — around 4.5 inches — according to data from the Illinois State Climatologist.

Chicago's West Side, including Homan Square, Douglass Park, and Tri-Taylor, faced especially challenging conditions, according to CBS Chicago.

It added that a total of 6.6 inches of rain fell on Douglass Park, while emergency crews conducted rescues at Western and Ogden avenues and Ashland Avenue and Kinzie Street.

What People Are Saying

The NWS forecast office in Chicago wrote on X, formerly Twitter, on Tuesday:"A personal weather station has measured 5.06 inches of rain just west of the United Center in 1 hour and 30 minutes! There are reports of water rescues taking place across the warned area! The heaviest rain continues across Humboldt Park, Garfield Park, and Austin."

Meteorologist Emily Wahls wrote on X, Tuesday:
"FLASH FLOODING ONGOING IN CHICAGO. There are now reports of water rescues going on at Western and Ogden, and Fulton and Maple. We're also getting reports of flooded viaducts. This is becoming a dangerous situation."
Weather analyst Colin McCarthy wrote on X, Tuesday:
"The major floods won't stop in the United States.

"It has rained 5 inches in the last 90 minutes in west Chicago with water rescues ongoing near United Center."

https://www.sott.net/article/500547-Months-worth-of-rain-5-inches-falls-on-Chicago-in-just-90-minutes

[Mark]

Hannah Fingerhut
The Detroit News
Fri, 04 Jul 2025 18:54 UTC
Pictured: The flooded Guadalupe River in central Texas this morning
The flooded Guadalupe River in central Texas this morning
Multiple deaths have been reported in Texas after heavy rain caused flash flooding, while search teams used boats to conduct rescues Friday as fast-moving water threatened riverfront communities near wildlife habitats and campgrounds.

As much as 10 inches (25 centimeters) of heavy rain fell in just a few hours overnight in central Kerr County, causing flash flooding of the Guadalupe River.

Judge Rob Kelly, the chief elected official in the county, confirmed fatalities from the flooding and dozens of water rescues so far. He said he was advised not to cite specific numbers and said authorities are still working to identify those whose lives were lost.

"Most of them, we don't know who they are," Kelly said during a news conference. "One of them was completely naked, he didn't have any ID on him at all. We're trying to get the identity of these folks, but we don't have it yet."

Officials conducted dozens of rescues, and the emergency response continued as an unknown number or people remained unaccounted for, Kelly said.
https://www.sott.net/article/500470-120-dead-at-least-173-remain-missing-in-Kerr-County-Texas-after-flash-flooding-hit-10-inches-of-rain-in-just-a-few-hours-Guadalupe-River-rises-26-FEET-in-just-45-minutes-UPDATED

[Mark]

A sharp Canadian air mass has spilled into the United States, setting July cold records — notably in the Upper Midwest.

In Minnesota, the Twin Cities logged 52F (11C) on Thursday, matching the July 17 record set in 1976. With International Falls dropping to 42F (6C), tying a record that stood since 1918.

To the northwest, Grand Forks logged its coldest July 17 in over 50 years, with Grand Forks International Airport seeing 41F (5C), breaking the old record of 44F (7C) set in 1971. Even more impressively, Fargo matched its 1885 record with a low of 43F (6C).

While in South Dakota, Watertown’s hottest day so far this July has been just 83F (28.3F), marking the coolest July maximum since they began keeping records in 1893.

The cold hasn't been confined to the north.

For example, at San Francisco International Airport, an average maximum of just 67.6 F (19.8C) was recorded from June 1 to July 15—the coldest such period since 1965. Cities like Oakland, Santa Rosa, and San Jose have held between 3–6F below normal during the same period, making for the coldest start to summer on record in many regions.
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/record-cold-sweeps-parts-of-the-us

[Mark]

An unseasonable Arctic air mass is currently gripping the northern Rockies, plunging temperatures across Montana, Wyoming, and the western Dakotas to levels more typical of mid-winter than mid-July.

Latest anomaly maps reveal stark deviations from the norm — as much as 41F below average — with some regions in central Montana barely climbing out of the 40s Fahrenheit during the day.



Note: the entire U.S. is currently 1.6F below normal (vs 1991-2010 baseline)

The coldest pockets, those deep purples, are delivering an unmistakable jolt of winter-like chill to the high plains and valleys.

Wednesday morning is enduring frost and record-challenging lows during what should be the warmest stretch of the year.
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/polar-cold-slams-northern-rockies

[Mark]

So far this year, the percentage of U.S. days above 90F (32.2C) is the 26th lowest on record since 1895. That’s according to NOAA’s own Historical Climatology Network data, covering January through July.


As discussed previously: unlike homogenized “average temperature” products—routinely adjusted, infilled, and re-baselined—hot-day counts are binary: a thermometer either hit 90F or it didn’t. This makes them far harder to manipulate. Yes, individual readings can still be nudged upward, and the Urban Heat Island effect remains unaddressed — however, since UHI raises nighttime lows more than daytime highs, its impact here is also limited.

The graph tells the story: the peak of extreme-heat days came during the 1930s, with 1934 standing out at 18.3%—a number untouched in the modern “hottest years ever” era. In fact, today’s figure sits well below the long-term average of 11.5%.

It’s hard to spin this: despite the rhetoric, Americans are seeing fewer extreme-heat days than many times in the past century.
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/2025-in-the-us-is-running-cool-perth

[Mark]

Tyler Durden
Zero Hedge
Tue, 12 Aug 2025 10:10 UTC
weather map projection
The Farmer's Almanac has issued its long-range forecast for the upcoming Western Hemispheric winter, calling for cold and snowy conditions across large swaths of the Lower 48. While the two-century-old publication touts an 80% accuracy rate, independent analysis places that figure around 55%.

The forecast, which dates back to 1818 and accounts for environmental fluctuations on Earth, solar activity (sunspots), the motion of the Moon, and other proprietary factors, calls for "widespread wintry weather" in the 2025-26 winter season.

Here's a breakdown of the forecast:
Cold Zones:
Coldest: Northern Plains to New England, plus Northwest (Idaho, Washington).
Major cold snaps expected mid-January and mid-February.
Snow Outlook:
New England: Frequent snowstorms.
Atlantic Coast: Significant rain, occasional snow mix.
Mid-Atlantic Mountains: Decent snow events.
Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, North Central: Classic snow-heavy winter.
Pacific Northwest Mountains: Impressive snow totals.
Regional Highlights:
Southeast: Average temps, wet;
Appalachians see occasional snow.
Texas/Southern Plains: Wetter than average, periodic cold snaps, limited snow but freezing rain possible.
Southwest: Wet winter, near-average temps.
If the Farmer's Almanac's long-range forecast is even partially accurate, it could spell serious trouble for Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern states already plagued with strained power grids, with Maryland at the epicenter of the crisis.
https://www.sott.net/article/501240-Farmers-Almanac-unveils-long-range-forecast-Widespread-wintry-weather-for-US

[Mark]

Northern Maine was hit with an early taste of winter this week as overnight lows dipped below freezing.

Estcourt Station bottomed out at a rare 31F (-0.6C), while Caribou fell to 38F (3.3C). In Houlton, temperatures tanked to 35F (1.7C) on Monday — marking the second-earliest reading that low since records began in 1948, with only Aug 17, 1979 seeing cold earlier. The 39F (3.9C) posted there on Tuesday set a new daily record minimum.

Frost was confirmed across multiple locations, reads a NWS report.

Along the coast, Hurricane Erin is forecast to bring rough surf and gusty winds later this week, but the real story inland is the early arrival of frost.

And that could well be summer for much of America, with an expansive cold front forecast to descend south starting this weekend:
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/early-frost-bites-maine-cool-summer

[Mark]

A descent of cold Canadian air will dip deep into the Lower 48 next week, knocking temperatures well-below normal. While “Arctic blast” might be overkill for late August, the setup will feel like an early arrival of Fall.

The core of the chill will start in the north this weekend, and by early next week will have targeted the likes of Kansas, Oklahoma, and northern Texas. Forecasts show widespread double-digit departures extending from the Rockies through the Midwest.

Days will resemble October rather than August.
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/seasons-first-arctic-blast-inbound

[Mark]

Ben Finley and John Seewer
Associated Press
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 21:19 UTC
hurricane erin north carolina outer banks flooding
© USGS, NOAA
Hurricane Erin's sweep past North Carolina's Outer Banks coastal region is expected to produce major flooding August 19-21, 2025
Erin has reintensified to a Category 4 storm

Hurricane Erin forced tourists to cut their vacations short on North Carolina's Outer Banks even though the monster storm is expected to stay offshore after lashing part of the Caribbean with rain and wind on Monday.

Evacuations were ordered on some barrier islands along the Carolina coast as authorities warned the storm could churn up dangerous rip currents and swamp roads with waves of 15 feet (4.6 meters). Tropical storm and surge watches were issued Monday for much of the Outer Banks.

Officials at the Wrightsville Beach, near Wilmington, North Carolina, reported to the National Weather Service rescuing at least 60 swimmers from rip currents on Monday.

Tourists and residents waited for hours in a line of cars at Ocracoke Island's ferry dock — the only way to leave other than by plane.

"We definitely thought twice," said Seth Brotherton, of Catfish, North Carolina, whose weeklong fishing trip ended after two days. "But they said 'mandatory' and that pretty much means, 'get out of here.'"

In an AP interview, National Hurricane Center hurricane specialist Dave Roberts says by Wednesday or Thursday Hurricane Erin could impact the Outer Banks.

Forecasters are confident Erin will curl north and away from the eastern U.S., but it's still expected to whip up wild waves and tropical force winds along the coastal islands, Dave Roberts of the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said.
https://www.sott.net/article/501341-Hurricane-Erin-forces-evacuations-in-North-Carolinas-Outer-Banks

[Mark]

More than 200 million Americans from the Plains to the East Coast will be hit by an unseasonable chill this week.

A powerful cold front spilling out of Canada is set to dominate the central and eastern half of the country. GFS runs show widespread anomalies of 12C to 16C below the 30-year norm, with pockets even colder.



GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies for Aug 25 [tropicaltidbits.com]

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies for Aug 26 [tropicaltidbits.com]

Already, the northern Plains have turned sharply cooler. Frost advisories were hoisted across northern Minnesota as lows dipped into the 30s — in August. By Tuesday, Oklahoma City may struggle to crack 70F (21C), while the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest fall into the 40s overnight.

This is no passing chill. Even NOAA’s outlook carries below-average temperatures through the end of August and into early September — a fall preview weeks ahead of schedule.
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/early-us-cold-to-impact-200-million

[Mark]

Washington, D.C. just logged its coolest August since 2000.

The monthly mean came in at 75.8F (24.3C), which is 3.6F (2C) below the modern average. It was also the driest August on record with only 0.2 inches (5 mm) of rain.

The Washington Post keenly notes that the chilliest August on record was in 1927 with a mean of 70F (21.1C), but what they leave out is that Aug 2025 beats some impressive historical benchmarks. It was colder than August 1872 — 153 years ago, for example.

The cool wasn’t confined to the capital either.

The chart below shows much of the eastern and central United States running below average last month
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/washington-posts-its-coolest-august

[Mark]

Early September is delivering November-like chill across large swathes of the United States.

On Saturday, Sheridan, Wyoming posted 31F (–0.6C), while Baker, Montana dropped to 30F (–1.1C) — both new records. Livingston tied its 32F (0C) mark. Patchy frost was reported across ranchland, a rare sight for September's opening week.

In Minnesota, Duluth tied its 1904 record at just 52F (11.1C), Hibbing set a new low maximum at 50F (10C), and Ashland, Wisconsin broke its 1926 mark with 53F (11.7C). International Falls tied its 53F (11.7C) record, and Brainerd matched 57F (13.9C).

Further south, Lexington, Kentucky logged its fourth record low in two weeks, falling to 45F (7.2C) Sunday morning. Burlington, Iowa tied its Sept 7 record of 42F (5.6C) from 1956, with nearby towns also dipping into the low 40s (≈5–6C).

A slew of daily records have fallen over the past 24 hours...
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/records-continue-to-fall-in-us-la

[Mark]

At least seven states reported record lows Monday morning as an early-season chill spread across the eastern U.S.

The NWS's Weather Prediction Center confirmed records in Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Missouri, and Alabama, with ties logged in Minnesota, Illinois, Maryland, and Connecticut.

Frost advisories extended across parts of Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, and New York, where overnight readings in the low 30s (–1C to 1C) threatened crops and gardens. Sioux City, South Dakota dropped to 36F (2.2C), breaking its 1986 record, while Mitchell fell to 35F (1.7C), a mark last seen in 1898.

Sheridan, Wyoming, Baker, Montana, and multiple stations in Minnesota and Wisconsin also set or tied daily records over the weekend.

Local forecasters are noting the broader anomaly. In northeast Wisconsin, for example, meteorologist Cameron Moreland reported the region is off to its coldest start to September since records began in 1886, with temperatures running about 10F below average. Monday’s low of 38F (3.3C) was the coldest this early in the month since 1988.
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/coldest-start-to-september-on-record

[Mark]

https://www.sott.net/article/501765-Dramatic-moment-lightning-hits-tree-and-starts-fire-in-Wisconsin
A bolt of lightning struck a tree on a property in north-central Wisconsin on Tuesday, September 9, sending bits of bark and other debris flying through the air and setting the tree on fire. Security camera footage captured by Mike Smith shows the dramatic scene on Smith's property in Tomahawk, Wisconsin, on Tuesday.

A loud explosion could be heard as the lightning hits the tree, causing tree bark and debris to scatter across the property. Smith said he was not on the property at the time and received a text from a neighbor saying his tree was on fire. Later footage shows Smith's neighbors using lake water to put out the fire at the base of the tree.

Smith said that the fire department extinguished the fire that was further up the tree. "We had a freak bolt of lightning destroy one of our pine trees," Smith wrote on Facebook. "Thanks to our great neighbors for putting out the fire and helping me with communication with emergency services. Sad for our tree..."

[Mark]

Central Nebraska has just endured one of its coldest late-August to early-September periods on record.

From August 23 through September 7, daily highs in Hastings averaged just 73.9F (23C) with lows at 56.8F (14C). Grand Island wasn’t far off, with highs of 74.2F (23C) and lows of 55.9F (13C). Both sites ran about 7F (4C) below normal for the stretch.

According to the National Weather Service, this was the second-coolest such period

[Mark]

Stanley, Virginia just logged its coolest August in 57 years.

Afternoon highs averaged 79.9F (27C), more than 5F below normal. The thermometer hit 90F (32C) only once, on Aug 17, topping out at 91F (33C). By comparison, August 1988 averaged 89.4F (32C) with 20 days above 90F.

Lows averaged 61.3F (16C), with the monthly minimum of 49F (9C) posted on Aug 30.

Records fell, including on Aug 28 when 51F (11C) bested a 1969 benchmark.

Stanley’s chill was no anomaly. NOAA data show the U.S. as a whole endured a markedly cool August — finishing cooler than August 1904 and many Augusts since. Maximums, as per even the official data, have barely budged in more than a century

[Mark]

Two snowfall events, on Sept 26 and 28, have hit Arizona Snowbowl, marking the resort’s first snows of the season.

The resort is slated to open Nov 21, though history shows earlier dates are possible. Last year, abundant early storms pushed Snowbowl’s opening to Nov 8 —the earliest on record— leading to a marathon 185-day season that stretched into June.

This latest bout comes as early snow spreads across North America’s peaks.

Whistler Blackcomb logged flakes the same day, while Colorado resorts including Arapahoe Basin, Keystone, and Breckenridge have already seen September snow.

Keystone could be targeting a mid-October opening, with Arapahoe likewise hinting at an early start.
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/arizonas-september-snow-blue-planet

[Mark]

At least two people died Thursday in flooded basements after record rainfall in parts of New York City that also deluged some streets and subway stations, according to police.

The New York Police Department confirmed the two deaths to ABC News.

ABC New York station WABC said a 39-year-old man was found unconscious and unresponsive in a flooded basement in Brooklyn. The FDNY Scuba Team recovered his body from the basement before he was taken to the hospital where he was pronounced dead, police said.

In a separate incident in Washington Heights, in northern Manhattan, police said the body of a 43-year-old man was found in a flooded boiler room, WABC reported.

Police are investigating both incidents.
https://www.sott.net/article/502691-2-dead-after-New-York-City-flooding-that-submerged-vehicles-flooded-subways-after-record-rainfall
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/yEB2JwjlfUI?feature=share

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/QThBwhkA-9k?feature=share

[Mark]

An ‘Arctic outbreak’ is forecast to plunge deep into the United States early next week, with subfreezing air reaching as far south as the Gulf of Mexico America by Monday, November 10.

The ECMWF run (below) shows 850 hPa (upper air) temperatures dipping below -12C (10F) across large swaths of the Midwest and Plains, with the cold mass driving southward through the central corridor.
https://electroverse.substack.com/p/avalanche-in-italy-kills-five-major