Author Topic: May global report  (Read 3843 times)

Offline Rwood

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May global report
« on: June 20, 2019, 10:24:40 AM »
4th warmest (global, land + sea). For Southern hemisphere land, it was the warmest on record.  The coldness over a substantial part of the USA and Europe gave a misleading impression - there was a significant difference between the two hemispheres.

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201905



Offline KHartill

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Re: May global report
« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2019, 10:52:29 PM »
Interesting to compare similarities between the global anomaly map at that link to the NASA model/reconstruction late 1600's maps here...

https://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/briefs/shindell_06/



Online Mark

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Re: May global report
« Reply #2 on: June 22, 2019, 09:38:17 AM »

Offline Sheldybett

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Re: May global report
« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2019, 05:31:34 PM »
Austria had its coolest may since 1991 with the mean temperature is 2.6 below the long term mean.
Sheldybett

Offline KHartill

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Re: May global report
« Reply #4 on: June 22, 2019, 11:06:44 PM »
As with geopolitics, the intrigue following weather and climate is on a rising trajectory now.  The next 10-20 years should settle things.  Either way there are some hefty predictions being made by big names/institutions and it'll be messy.  As part of geology degree I did some climate science, 25+ years ago so very rusty.  A central and solid prediction reinforced by several lecturers at the time was that by now the Hadley cells would have expanded to the point NZ would be in a state of near perma-drought with the circum-Antarctic vortex/roaring forties being suppressed south.  It's rather like trying to measure pedesis of a happy dogs tail... but they're crowing about roughly a degree of arc pole-ward expansion at this point.  The narrative I paid good money for has proven largely divergent of reality... it has obviously warmed somewhat though.

Jet stream non-linearity seems to be rocking the boat of late.

Offline Rwood

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Re: May global report
« Reply #5 on: June 23, 2019, 11:32:17 AM »

I recall a seminar a few years back which cited a fairly significant poleward shift from 1979 to present. If you're challenging what is being said now you shoud try engaging the likes of Renwick or Salinger. I don't think there is any reason whatever for complacency.

Offline Rwood

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Re: May global report
« Reply #6 on: July 03, 2019, 11:24:43 AM »
Timely to note now that various locations in Northland, Auckland and Waikato reported record low rainfalls to the end of June - the kind of scenario predicted years ago as occurring more frequently in the future - not for the whole of NZ as implied by a post above!!

https://twitter.com/niwaweather?lang=en



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