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New Zealand Local Weather Forum
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National Earthquakes
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Statistical Forecasting Earthquakes in ChCh
« Day of reckoning approaching: scientists warn New Zealand’s Alpine fault about d
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Topic: Statistical Forecasting Earthquakes in ChCh (Read 3045 times)
TokWW
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Another Engineer
Statistical Forecasting Earthquakes in ChCh
«
on:
June 20, 2012, 07:46:06 AM »
I was just looking at Chris Crowe's site and watching the recent events and looking at the quiet time now in the top row and even the second row, but compare it with the right hand end of the third row and one can't help be forgiven for thinking there might be a R4 earthquake due in the next day or so.
We'll see what happens. At some stage, these periods have to start lengthening as the energy left in the fault lines subsides and it all relaxes to a more stable platform.
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Graeme
http://www.inmanavenue.com/webcam.html
TonyC
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Station: Davis Vantage Pro 2
Re: Statistical Forecasting Earthquakes in ChCh
«
Reply #1 on:
June 20, 2012, 08:39:35 AM »
I must ask Chris some time (he's a mate of mine and got me interested in weather stations originally) where he's getting his info from of late. He is recording tremors that are not showing up even on the Geonet beta site such as the 2.7 at 11.29 last night. The beta site recorded a 2.7 at Collingwood earlier in the day.
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Port Robinson, North Canterbury weather station:
Port Robinson, NewZealand
TokWW
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Re: Statistical Forecasting Earthquakes in ChCh
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Reply #2 on:
June 26, 2012, 07:35:14 AM »
Actually, looking back over the June back to May line, it shows that every time there has been an R4 quake, there has been another within 12-24hrs of almost a similar magnitude following the first but slightkly less in value. Haven't checked each of those pairs for similar or different fault lines though.
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« Day of reckoning approaching: scientists warn New Zealand’s Alpine fault about d
|
Earthquake location service gets high-availability host »
New Zealand Local Weather Forum
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Climate and Science
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National Earthquakes
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Statistical Forecasting Earthquakes in ChCh
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