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Author Topic: This Week's Weather Forecast 24th - 28th December 2012  (Read 7238 times)

Offline Te Puke Weather

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This Week's Weather Forecast 24th - 28th December 2012
« on: December 23, 2012, 01:47:08 AM »
Monday
 
North Island, rain for most places, with heavy falls in the north and about East Cape, but only a few showers from Wanganui to Wellington. South Island, Mostly fine, but drizzle patches in the east.
 
Tuesday

North Island, rain for central and northern areas, drizzle in the east and a few showers south of Wanganui to Wellington. South Island, rain developing in the north, but mainly fine elsewhere apart from morning drizzle about the east coast and late drizzle over fiords.

Wednesday

North Island, rain spreading throughout, but easing at night. South Island, rain for most, briefly heavy in the north and Fiordland, easing to a few showers in the south.

Thursday

North Island, rain clearing for most, but afternoon showers inland north of Taihape. South Island, showers, clearing in the morning south of Otago and Fiordland.

Friday

North Island, fine apart from afternoon and evening showers over central and northern areas. South Island, mainly fine, afternoon showers over Westland and Buller ranges.

Chatham Islands

On Tuesday and Wednesday, periods of rain and strong northerlies. A southerly change with showers on Thursday, becoming fine on Friday.
« Last Edit: December 24, 2012, 10:12:08 AM by Te Puke Weather »


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Offline OhauitiWeather

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Current likely track of ex TC Evan
« Reply #1 on: December 28, 2012, 08:13:26 PM »
Posted by wwadmin on Sun, 23/12/2012 - 11:34

Conditions and the likely track of ex tropical cyclone Evan are still looking very similar as per Howard Joseph’s article yesterday, http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/...-a-bit-further-north
 
Some rain is clipping eastern Northland today and Gisborne while the centre of this system sits just to the northeast off the tip of Northland. Some scattered rain will later today also move into Auckland, Waikato and eastern Bay Of Plenty.
 
The heaviest rain and strongest winds this system will produce move in tomorrow into Northland as the centre of the low moves just past Cape Reinga, Cape Reinga will certainly not be the place to be tomorrow with strong to gale force southeasterlies and outbreaks of heavy rain.
 
Auckland will have gusty easterlies and a mostly dry but cloudy afternoon with a few spits of rain expected. The risk for showers increases later in the day and just north of the city is where slightly heavier falls will be - and then a greater chance of heavy rain as you move into Northland.
 
The low will move a little further westwards and then start to track southwards on Christmas Day, a very humid northeasterly airflow will cover the North Island bringing in plenty of cloud and the odd shower or drizzle patches about.
 
There may be a few sunny areas the further east one moves in a line of about Waikato through to the Manawatu however the flip side to any areas of sun is the odd heavy shower may develop late afternoon in these areas that get a touch of warmth.
 
Wednesday really sees the low weaken and start to move eastwards across the country so there should be a period of rain for most on Boxing day although the lower South Island may remain fairly dry.

Boxing Day may also be quite cloudy for many centres,
 

By weather analyst Aaron Wilkinson - WeatherWatch.co.nz
http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/...ely-track-ex-tc-evan
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Offline OhauitiWeather

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Video: Philip Duncan & NZ's Christmas Day forecast
« Reply #2 on: December 28, 2012, 08:55:48 PM »
Posted by wwadmin on Mon, 24/12/2012 - 11:59

Christmas Day will be hot and steamy with the risk for rain, showers or drizzle for many northern regions while the South Island looks likely to be the place to be if you want sun.
 
Link to Video:
http://www.youtube.com/...ed&v=L34049IWNgo
 

WeatherWatch.co.nz
http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/...ristmas-day-forecast

Offline OhauitiWeather

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Thunderstorms on Christmas Day, where and when
« Reply #3 on: December 28, 2012, 09:00:11 PM »
Posted by wwadmin on Mon, 24/12/2012 - 17:00

For most of us this will not appear as bad as it seems but a few areas are likely to get some late afternoon thunderstorms tomorrow.
 
This is mainly due to the very humid air we will be seeing at the surface. In fact today in the North Island there is likely to be a few thunderstorms in a line from eastern Bay Of Plenty through to Taranaki, a few strikes have been detected already. So watch for heavy falls in this area during the remainder of today.
 
Storms tomorrow are most likely about the lower North Island from southern Taranaki in the west down through to Wellington mainly about hills and ranges. Also Buller and the Nelson Lakes region tomorrow will see some heavy thundery downpours. Isolated showers may sprout up late afternoon anywhere from Mid Canterbury northwards into North Canterbury mainly along the foothills also.
 
Any thunderstorms over the course of today and tomorrow have the potential to produce significant downpours due to the highly saturated air so something to take note of if you happen to be near any that form.
 
This situation is quite interesting as thunderstorms developed last Christmas in some inland parts of the South Island and here we are again, luckily they’ll probably be out of site for my beady eyes otherwise I would be inclined to want to go after them and chase being the keen thunderstorm man that I am.
 
In any case I hope all of you have a very merry christmas tomorrow. Cheers, Aaron.
 

By weather analyst Aaron Wilkinson - WeatherWatch.co.nz
http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/...s-day-where-and-when


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