Author Topic: Laws of chance  (Read 2140 times)

Offline TonyC

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Laws of chance
« on: January 13, 2014, 10:43:30 AM »
Us retired blokes with idle time on our hands..........

I did a bit of analysis of the bonus numbers that came up during the 16 weeks the game ran.

* 8 out of the 16 weeks the bonus number was 10 or below (10,8,5,4,5,9,6,2).
* Only 1 number came up between 30 and 40 (38)
* 4 were between 10 and 20 (11,15,17)
* 3 were between 20 and 30 (22,23,27)

My strategy was to cover a block with the 3 numbers. If I chose 2,5 and 8 that would guarantee points if the bonus number was 1-9. The thinking was that I had just over 1 in 4 odds in choosing the right block of numbers. I'd have been quids in if I'd picked those numbers in this game. Probably the odds are the same picking 3 random numbers out the 40, (I'm no mathemetician), but it is interesting looking at the statistics of chance.

cheers
TC


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Offline JennyLeez

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Re: Laws of chance
« Reply #1 on: January 13, 2014, 12:07:25 PM »
and looking above you can see why I won.
My picks were the same each week either
3, 9, 15 or
3, 9, 23

Look at your 10, 8, 4, 9, 2
15
22, 23

I will get the next one under way.
Cheers
Living in Wairoa, Northern Hawkes Bay
Website: wairoa.net/weather


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