This Week's Weather Forecasting 28th - 1st June 2012

[JennyLeez]

Issued by MetService 1:25pm Sunday 27 May 2012
Tuesday
North Island, showers developing in the east and fine or becoming fine elsewhere. South Island, showers about Fiordland, and fine or becoming fine elsewhere.
Wednesday
North Island, becoming fine in the east, fine in the west but a few showers developing towards evening. South Island, rain or showers in the west. Cold southerlies and showers developing in the east, bringing snow down to 400 metres in the south.
Thursday
North Island, showers and cold southerlies in the east, becoming fine in the west. South Island, becoming mostly fine in the west, showers clearing and cold southerlies easing in the east.
Friday
North Island, showers in the east and north, fine elsewhere. South Island, a few showers about Fiordland, mostly fine elsewhere.

Weather Watch
After a rainy start to the week, it looks like our weather will settle down as we put the finishing touches on Autumn 2012.
After a wet Sunday for most of us, tomorrow won’t be that much drier.  The rain chances for the North Island will shift north a bit.  So Taranaki, Wanganui, Wairarapa and Wellington may get out of the rain.  But the rest of the island stands a pretty good chance of getting wet during the morning.  Precipitation chances will diminish for the afternoon and evening.
For the South Island, rain chances will hang tough across the west and south throughout the day on Monday, although the rain should ease to showers as we get late into Monday afternoon and Monday evening.  There is a chance for some light precipitation along the eastern regions of the South Island on Monday.  Christchurch could see a few rain showers.  Snow flurries down to 700m are possible as well.
Tuesday will kick off a few days in a row of settled weather as high pressure builds in off the Tasman.  The only exception will be the deep south of the South Island where precipitation chances will hold on right through Wednesday.
The first day of winter looks pretty settled for the South Island.  The North Island could be a bit wet with a few showers possible.
Temperatures are expected to be pretty typical for this time of year with highs in the teens and lows cooling into the single digits for everyone by the time we get to mid-week.

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[JennyLeez]

Summer was ordinary overall, Autumn was certainly a step up but will Winter continue that trend?
This Friday sees us move into June and as we head into the coldest season of the year we're very much moving into a neutral phase and one not dominated by neither a La Nina or El  Nino phase.
This usually means that there's more of a balance to our weather however not necessarily sunny days all of the time with crisp nights.
That will certainly be in the picture but just like were seeing move up the southern half of the country today, there are likely to be chilly southerly outbreaks.
It's not as if a flick of the switch turns Winter on as of this Friday but indicates that the coolest months are here but there's still quite a debate that we should start our seasons on the 21st of each quarter of the year as a majority of countries do. Australia and New Zealand both start at the first of the month for each season.
This winter should see anticyclones move near or over the country which mainly deliver sunny days, a few cloudy areas, some morning fogs and frosts but relatively light winds.The odd polar outbreak should occur along with one or two systems containing wind and rain heading down from the north.
WeatherWatch.co.nz weather analyst Richard Green believes it's a season ahead of all sorts."There'll be those chilly days of course but as we've seen over parts of Autumn sunny days will still be with us from time to time with some sunny spells lasting a few days on end but a few disturbances should deliver snow for this skifields with nor' west winds delivering snow to the southern skifields ahead of southerly changes".
WeatherWatch.co.nz sees today as showing signs of one of those cold changes in the south and although it's looking fairly temporary another one or two are likely within the next seven days.
Richard Green

[Weather Display]

looks like a rapidly deepening low to cross the NI tues/wed next week....at this stage...