fore·cast (fôrkst, fr-)
v. fore·cast or fore·cast·ed, fore·cast·ing, fore·casts
v.tr.
1. To estimate or calculate in advance, especially to predict (weather conditions) by analysis of meteorological data
Why is it that society expects to have their collective hand held in all situations. A forecast or a warning is a guestimate using information and experience about what might happen, not what will happen.
Forecasters now issue warnings in some situations where in the past they might not have, the reason being that they have been lambasted in the past for not issuing strong enough warnings when the conditions have unexpectedly deteriorated.
Now they get lambasted when conditions are not as bad as predicted. For goodness sakes people, have a look out the window or better yet, get off your fat rear ends and go for a walk outside, turning your brain on as you exit the house. A number of things will happen as a result - you will get some fresh air and some exercise, this in turn helps your brain to work so you are able to notice what the conditions are doing for yourself, you will then get some idea for yourself as to what the weather might do.
Rant over.
I know I am preaching to the converted here but the constant societal blaming everyone else for everything sometimes gets to me.