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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:31:58 AM »
A thick northwest cloudband could cause rain over a large area of Australia next week as a stream of tropical moisture extends thousands of kilometres from the Indian Ocean towards southeastern Australia.
A slow-moving upper-level trough will cause rain to spread across parts of central Australia this weekend into early next week. This system will then be followed by another upper-level trough next week, which forecast models suggest could produce a northwest cloudband and widespread rain.
These rain-bearing systems will be fuelled by abnormally warm seas surrounding Australia, which will provide extra moisture in the atmosphere to generate rain.
Sea surface temperature anomalies near Australia on August 12, 2026. Source: Weatherzone.
Image: Sea surface temperature anomalies near Australia on August 12, 2026. Source: Bureau of Meteorology.
The map below shows how much rain is expected to fall during the next seven days. According to this model (the ECMWF model), widespread totals of 20–40 mm are likely over central and southeastern Australia, with isolated falls of around 40–60 mm possible through parts of SA, Vic, NSW, the ACT and Tas.
ECMWF 7-day rainfall leading up to Thursday, August 20. Source: Weatherzone.
At this stage, further rain could extend into the latter half of next week, possibly allowing parts of southeastern Australia to see accumulated totals of 60–80 mm between now and Sunday, August 23.
There is some uncertainty regarding where and how much rain will fall next week. Be sure to stay up to date with the latest forecasts and warnings for the most accurate information.
Weatherzone.
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:29:03 AM »
Arctic cold has swept across Russia’s Far East and Yakutia, breaking at least 17 daily cold records over the weekend. Eight records fell Saturday. Talon dropped to 2.7C (36.9F), beating its Aug 8 record of 3C (37.4F) from 1971. In Amur Oblast, Chernyaevo fell to 6.2C (43.2F), breaking the 6.9C (44.4F) from 1947, while Norsk reached 3.3C (37.9F), besting its 3.9C (39F) benchmark, also from 1947. Blagoveshchensk registered 9.8C (49.6F), beating a record that had stood since 1902 (books here back to 1881). Arkhara fell to 6.2C (43.2F), edging out 6.3C (43.3F) from 1964. Yekaterino-Nikolskoye reached 9.4C (48.9F), beating 10.3C (50.5F) from 1947. In Primorsky Krai, Pogranichny dropped to 10.1C (50.2F), breaking 10.8C (51.4F) from 1992, while Sviyagino hit 9C (48.2F), below its previous 9.5C (49.1F), also from 1992. Sunday brought another nine records. The standout came at Verkhoyansk, where temperatures plunged to -8.2C (17.2F). That demolished the previous Aug 9 record of -3.7C (25.3F), set in 1972, by an extraordinary 4.5C (8.1F). Verkhoyansk’s daily record series stretches back to 1885. Khabarovsk fell to 7.1C (44.8F), smashing its previous Aug 9 record of 10C (50F) from 1998 by 2.9C (5.2F). Vladivostok dropped to 12.9C (55.2F), beating the 13.4C (56.1F) from 1964 (records extend back to 1884). Records also fell at Lermontovka, where 8.5C (47.3F) beat 8.7C (47.7F) from 1964; Dalnerechensk, where 8.6C (47.5F) beat 9.4C (48.9F) from 1964; and Timiryazevsky, where 8.4C (47.1F) bested 10.4C (50.7F) from 1992. Yekaterino-Nikolskoye, Pogranichny and Sviyagino all broke daily cold records for a second consecutive morning. Local reports described the outbreak as severe for the dog days of summer, with snow and freezing rain reported around Magadan, while early frosts in Amur Oblast reportedly damaged crops. The records are particularly notable for the depth of the station histories, all of which are long. Blagoveshchensk’s daily series reaches back to 1881, Verkhoyansk to 1885, Vladivostok to 1884, Pogranichny to 1902 and Timiryazevsky to 1911. The cold continued into Monday. https://electroverse.substack.com/p/cold-records-fall-in-russia-earth
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:26:03 AM »
The High Arctic has endured an extraordinary summer cold run, with DMI data showing record-low daily means on 36 of the 41 days from July 1 through August 10. A full audit of DMI’s >80°N archive—comparing each 2026 date against the same calendar date in every available prior year back to 1958—leaves just five non-records: July 1, July 22, August 4, August 8 and August 10. That means 88% of the period set a daily cold record. The first streak ran for 20 consecutive days, from July 2 through July 21. Another 12 straight records followed from July 23 through August 3. July 26 was particularly notable, averaging -0.347C — the coldest July daily mean anywhere in the full DMI record. August 9 came in at -0.590C — the lowest daily summer mean across the entire series (Jul 1 through Aug 10). https://electroverse.substack.com/p/high-arctic-sets-36-cold-records
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:20:28 AM »
A powerful winter storm has swept South Africa, burying highland roads, stranding motorists and driving daytime temperatures to record lows. The system arrived back on Aug 9 as a strong cold front before an upper trough deepened into a cut-off low, locking cold air and moisture over the interior. By Aug 10-11, the Eastern Cape was taking the brunt, with SAWS issuing a Level 6 snow warning—on its 1-to-10 scale—with accumulations of 35 cm (14 inches) forecast across parts of the highlands. Heavy snow indeed hit Barkly East, Rhodes, Mount Fletcher, Matatiele and the Lesotho border region, closing Penhoek, Barkly, Boesmanshoek, Lootsberg and Wapadsberg passes. Motorists became trapped near Barkly Pass and required rescue. Snow also spread into KwaZulu-Natal, affecting Underberg, Kokstad, Nottingham Road, Impendle and the southern Drakensberg. Even Gauteng saw snow, including in Johannesburg itself, as well as around Germiston and Bedfordview. Before this week’s flurries, Johannesburg had previously only reported snow in 1956, 1962, 1964, 1981, 2007, 2012 and 2023. Africa First reports: “Snow is now becoming an annual sight in the country, even reaching places that had never experienced snowfall and the very cold weather before.” https://electroverse.substack.com/p/rare-snow-sweeps-south-africa-early
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:19:14 AM »
A sharp polar outbreak has swept southern Australia, delivering near-decade cold in the west and fresh heavy snow across the Alps. Perth dropped to 2.5C (36.5F) Tuesday morning—its coldest August reading in nine years. Bunbury fell to 0.8C (33.4F), its coldest August morning in a decade; Pearce reached 1.5C (34.7F), its lowest for the month in 11 years; while York dipped to -1C (30.2F). The cold then pushed east, bringing another round of alpine snow. Mt Hotham picked up 13 cm (5.1 inches) in 24 hours and 31 cm (12.2 inches) over the past week. Perisher has also received 31 cm in seven days, while Thredbo added further snow Tuesday night as freezing conditions persisted across the higher peaks. At Spencers Creek, there was no measurable snow on July 1—only the second such occurrence in the entire record. But now, by Aug 12, depth has rebounded to 96 cm (37.8 inches), already exceeding some full-season peaks, including 1982 and 2006. Australia’s alpine winter has staged an impressive turnaround. https://electroverse.substack.com/p/antarctic-chill-sweeps-australia
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:17:13 AM »
Russian Cold Breaks Records Fresh temperature records have swept northern Russia, with snow and further sub-zero lows now hitting parts of Yakutia. In Reboly, Karelia, the temperature fell to 3C (37.4F) on Aug 13, breaking the date’s previous record low of 4.1C (39.4F) set in 1965. According to the Pogoda i Klimat climate monitor, the station has operated since 1901. Thousands of miles east, Shelagontsy, Yakutia dropped to -4.8C (23.4F), breaking its Aug 13 record of -4.6C (23.7F) from 1953. The remote station, WMO 24329, has been operating since 1940. Yakutia’s state news agency YSIA reports wet snow in the mountains and overnight frosts down to -5C (23F) across parts of the northwest and northeast on Aug 14. Even coastal highs are forecast to struggle to just 5C (41F). The latest chill follows repeated cold incursions into Yakutia this month. https://electroverse.substack.com/p/russian-cold-breaks-records-snow
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:09:23 AM »
Typhoon Dolphin struck eastern China, including Shanghai, with winds up to 150 km/h, prompting more than one million people to evacuate their homes. The storm disrupted flights and transport while bringing heavy rain, flooding and the risk of landslides across the region. https://www.sott.net/article/507836-China-evacuates-a-million-as-Typhoon-Dolphin-arrives-record-12-4-inches-of-rain-in-24-hours-for-Shanghai-the-most-in-over-150-years-UPDATEhttps://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=4501369786769035
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:08:02 AM »
At least 111 people were killed, and dozens of buildings collapsed in cities across western Colombia after a powerful 7.4-magnitude earthquake struck the South American nation. Colombia's Geological Service said Monday that it had been "the highest magnitude earthquake registered in Colombia in the last decade." The quake trapped residents under debris, leaving more injured and forcing people to evacuate their homes as far as the capital of Bogota. Colombia's newly inaugurated President, Abelardo de la Espriella, declared an emergency to expedite funding for quake recovery and has plans to visit the disaster zone. "We aren't going to leave people alone. They are in our hearts and we are going to tend to people with our full determination," he said. https://www.sott.net/article/507851-Earthquake-with-7-4-magnitude-hits-Colombia-killing-at-least-254-UPDAT
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:06:13 AM »
First responders rescued more people from floodwaters Wednesday as utility crews cleared trees and wires downed by severe storms in the Midwest that have unleashed tornadoes, heavy rains and flash flooding, leaving hundreds of thousands of customers without electricity. A 4-year-old boy was killed when a tree fell on a home in Geneva, Indiana, during Tuesday's storms, the Jennings County Sheriff's Office said. In Ohio, Gov. Mike DeWine said a resident of Roseville died during a health emergency when first responders, faced with flooded roads, couldn't reach them. Officials in Portage, Indiana, were investigating whether the severe weather played a role in a reported house explosion that killed a person. Lightning struck a prison complex southwest of Cleveland on Tuesday, injuring 16 incarcerated people who were hospitalized, according to the Ohio Department of Corrections. DeWine said four remained hospitalized as of Wednesday, including one with severe injuries. Authorities in Ohio and western Pennsylvania reported numerous water rescues. DeWine sent 40 Ohio Army National Guard members to help in two counties east of Columbus. https://www.sott.net/article/507881-Deaths-damage-reported-as-severe-weather-spawns-tornadoes-flash-flooding-in-the-US-Midwest
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« Last post by Mark on Today at 09:05:12 AM »
At least six people have died and five others are wounded in eastern Japan as record rainfall pummelled the Chiba prefecture near the capital Tokyo. The rains, which authorities have described as "unprecedented", cut power to more than 20,000 households while 7,000 travellers were stranded overnight at Tokyo's Narita airport. Local authorities issued a level five emergency warning, its highest alert, on Thursday. This was downgraded to a level four by Friday morning, but they continue to warn of landslide and flooding risks. The deluge comes after a series of storms swept through Japan and neighbouring countries this week, in what's been forecast to be an unusually active typhoon season. https://www.sott.net/article/507912-Unprecedented-rain-in-Japan-kills-6-people-14-inches-of-rainfall-in-24-hours
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