New Zealand Local Weather Forum

Climate and Science => Climatology and Environment => Topic started by: Rwood on June 12, 2012, 07:37:00 AM

Title: Models give 50% chance of El Nino developing soon
Post by: Rwood on June 12, 2012, 07:37:00 AM

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

If this happens, the east of the South Island (most notably Canterbury) should get out of the pattern of cooler than average months that has been around for a while.

Title: Re: Models give 50% chance of El Nino developing soon
Post by: Weather Display on June 12, 2012, 08:10:43 AM

certainly warmer than normal water in the eastern pacific
also this constant SW wind and anticylonic gloom here is very typical for el nino