New Zealand Local Weather Forum

Archive Library => 2012 => Archives => Forecasts & Warnings 2012 => Topic started by: JennyLeez on April 14, 2012, 03:20:42 PM

Title: This Week's Weather Forecasting 16th - 20th April 2012
Post by: JennyLeez on April 14, 2012, 03:20:42 PM
A big and slow moving ridge of high pressure will bring quiet weather to the country this week.  We’ve been talking about this high for a few days now.  We’ve also been talking about all the dry weather it’s meant to bring us.

But there is one small addition we need to make.

Early on Tuesday, a little piece of energy could start to swing the winds around to the southeast.  That change, combined with support the upper atmosphere, could lead to a few showers for the coastal sections of Canterbury.

As we said the other day, highs don't guarantee dry, sunny weather, but generally speaking they do.  Coastal areas, however, can be vulnerable to cloud and showers, especially around the edges as it moves in.

As we get into Tuesday evening, the chances for showers will then work their way up the eastern coast.

On Wednesday, we will see those chances for showers move into Wellington, Hawkes Bay and Gisborne during the morning and afternoon.

Keep in mind the chance of rain is 20 to 40%.

On Thursday, the low shower risk will still be brushing Gisborne and East Cape in the morning, and potentially Northland.

Overall - most of of New Zealand can still expect a dry week ahead.


http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/ (http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/)

Title: Re: This Week's Weather Forecasting 16th - 20th April 2012
Post by: JennyLeez on April 16, 2012, 09:10:16 AM
Forecast in brief for New Zealand

Tuesday
North Island, mainly fine in the north and west, but late showers developing in the east. South Island, mainly fine in the west, rain or showers spreading along the east coast, clearing in the south.
Wednesday
North Island, mainly fine, but showers in the east and north. South Island, remaining showers in the northeast clearing, then mainly fine everywhere, late cloud in the east.
Thursday
North Island, mainly fine, showers in the east and north. South Island, mainly fine, areas of morning cloud or fog.
Friday
North Island, mainly fine, a few showers about eastern Northland. South Island, mainly fine, areas of morning fog or mist.


Metservice (http://www.metservice.com/national/index)
Title: Re: This Week's Weather Forecasting 16th - 20th April 2012
Post by: TokWW on April 18, 2012, 09:09:19 AM
Localised Forecast for Tokoroa and the South Waikato

Generalised : Five days of fine weather with light southerly to south east winds. A clear morning with frosts on Saturday.  Generally falling daily high temps and morning lows.

Today (Wednesday)
 Mostly sunny in the morning, becoming sunny in the afternoon. High 20°. UV index up to 5. Wind southeast around 6 kph.

Tonight
Clear. Patchy light fog after midnight. Low 5°.  Wind south-southeast around 5 kph.


Thursday
Sunny. Patchy light fog in the morning. High 19°. UV index up to 5. Wind south-southeast around 5 kph.

Thursday night
 Clear. Patchy light fog after midnight. Low 5°.  Wind southeast around 5 kph.

Friday
 Sunny. Patchy light fog in the morning. High 18°. UV index up to 4. Wind east-southeast around 3 kph in the morning, becoming north-northwest in the afternoon.

Friday night
 Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming fair to partly cloudy after midnight. Low 4°.  Wind northwest near calm.

Saturday
 Sunny. High 18°. UV index up to 4. Wind west around 3 kph.

Saturday night
 Mostly clear. Patchy light fog after midnight. Low 2°.  Wind west-southwest near calm in the evening, becoming south-southeast after midnight.

Sunday
 Sunny in the morning, becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. Patchy light fog in the morning. High 19°.  UV index up to 4. Wind northeast around 3 kph.

Sunday night
 Clear. Low 2°. Wind east-northeast around 3 kph.
Title: Re: This Week's Weather Forecasting 16th - 20th April 2012
Post by: JennyLeez on April 19, 2012, 12:38:54 AM
Well I hope you lot over, up and down are enjoying the sun.
Look at this forecast for Friday for the east coast.
This will take the rain days total for April to 13 with 6 days dry.
Total raindays for the last month of 31 days = 23 days!!!!!
8 dry days out of 31!!!!
Rainfall for that period only 249.3mm  Not high at all as most raindays 8mm and under.

Mahia Beach has had 14 raindays this April while Nuhaka has had 15 rain days out of 18 days this April; 3 dry days.

(http://wairoa.net/weathernz/reports/coast.png)


Title: Re: This Week's Weather Forecasting 16th - 20th April 2012
Post by: Weather Display on April 19, 2012, 07:02:43 AM
once el nino kicks you guys will be crying out for rain :P
Title: Re: This Week's Weather Forecasting 16th - 20th April 2012
Post by: Rwood on April 19, 2012, 07:04:53 AM
Not everywhere Jenny. We started the month well but have had enough cloudy southerlies/SE-ers to be barely above average sun for the month now, while places like N Plymouth, Nelson, Tekapo and central Otago/lakes bask in a lot of sunshine. This means we're still miles short of our average sun for the year so far, on top of a cloudier year than normal in 2011.

My sympathies to you of course - you have had very frequent rain/showers and it would be very annoying. I would certainly feel cheated in your situation.
Title: Re: This Week's Weather Forecasting 16th - 20th April 2012
Post by: Rwood on April 19, 2012, 07:05:35 AM

I wouldn't be - I've seen enough rain in my life already.