Author Topic: So, What's the forecast for New Year?  (Read 1414 times)

Offline JennyLeez

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So, What's the forecast for New Year?
« on: December 30, 2013, 07:56:14 PM »
Our sources appear to agree:

Weatherzone tells us:
North Island, a few showers developing in the west from Waikato to Wellington, and also Wairarapa. Fine elsewhere. South Island, rain in the west easing to a few showers. Scattered showers in the east.

The Metservice tells us:
A series of fronts are expected to cross southern and central New Zealand during the first few days of the New Year, bringing periods of heavy rain to the South Island Island West Coast and Main Divide, and northwesterly gales about and east of the South Island Main Divide and in the lower North Island.

The probability of heavy rain in the west of the South Island starts out low on Wednesday, but the probability increases to high from Thursday to Friday for the South Island West Coast and also the headwaters of the Otago and Canterbury lakes and rivers, with rainfall amounts likely to exceed warning levels. The probability of heavy rain in the west of the South Island and about the Main Divide should diminish for a time during the latter part of Friday and early part of Saturday, but increases to moderate again later on Saturday. In the lower North Island, there is low confidence for a period of significant heavy about the Tararua Range and on Mount Taranaki during Friday.

Additionally, northwesterly winds ahead of the fronts could reach severe gale strength about and east of the South Island Main Divide and in the lower North Island. For Southland, Otago, Canterbury and Marlborough south of the Sounds, confidence is moderate that northwesterlies will reach severe gale in exposed places from Thursday to Friday, especially about inland areas, with a lower probability for significant northwesterly gales returning later on Saturday. For Wairarapa, Wellington and the Marlborough Sounds, condidence is high that there will be a period of severe northwesterly gales during Friday, and moderate confidence that significant northwesterly gales will return late Saturday.

MetService Media and Communications Meteorologist Daniel Corbett commented,"New Year's Eve should be looking a lot drier than recent days across much of the country, after we finally get a break in the unsettled spell of weather."

An active trough moving across the country during Monday afternoon will bring a further risk of showers and thunderstorms to some areas, but New  Year's Eve should be a much drier and brighter day as a weak ridge of high  pressure builds across the country from the northwest.

This ridge will still be hanging on in many places at the stroke of midnight on New Year's Eve, bringing mostly dry conditions.  However, a new  front will begin to bring damp weather up the west coast of the South  Island by Tuesday afternoon, followed by the chance for some 'Nature's  fireworks' after dark.

This trough will bring the risk for some wet weather across many parts of the country for the first day of 2014. Skies clear briefly on Wednesday but  strong northwesterlies, with heavy rain in the west, are expected to be the  flavour for the remainder of the week.

and Weather Watch tells us:
Sunny spells with light northerly winds, isolated showers develop in the afternoon possibly heavy with thunderstorms then easing later in the evening as winds change to the northwest.
Likely afternoon Temp: 23 to 25 degrees (warm)

Auckland, Waikato, Lake Taupo. King Country
Sunny spells about Auckland through to the King Country, cloud increases about
the King Country, Waikato and Lake Taupo from mid morning and there may be a light
shower or two there late afternoon. Cloud increases about Auckland from afternoon. Showers more likely later in the evening for most with some rain possible overnight.
Likely afternoon Temp: 23 to 24 degrees (warm)

Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty, East Cape, Gisborne
Mostly sunny with light winds, afternoon northerlies about the Coromandel and Bay Of Plenty. Some evening cloud for most and a period of overnight rain or showers may move through for a time. Gisborne remains dry however.
Likely afternoon Temp: 23 to 26 degrees (warm)

Hawkes Bay, Wairarapa, Wellington
Mostly sunny about Hawkes Bay and the Wairarapa with light winds and afternoon
northwesterlies, winds will be brisk at times about southern Wairarapa
from afternoon with warm to very warm temperatures. Some high cloud moves into the Wairarapa from midday also. Wellington sees mostly cloudy skies with strong northerlies, the odd shower there from morning.
Likely afternoon Temp: 20 to 28 degrees (moderate to very warm)

Taranaki, Wanganui, Manawatu, Horowhenua, Kapiti
Skies becoming cloudy in the morning with the northwest breezes, some rain about Taranaki from midday and the odd light shower developing elsewhere. Some slightly more widespread rain for most from evening then rain eases around midnight as winds change westerly.
Likely afternoon Temp: 19 to 23 degrees (moderate to warm)

Rain develops in the morning with the chance of a heavy fall or two. Rain clears in the evening as northerlies change westerly. Late sunny spells before the sun goes down.
Likely afternoon Temp: 21 to 22 degrees (moderate)

Marlborough, Canterbury
Mostly sunny with some high cloud, high cloud clears Canterbury in the afternoon, north to northwest breezes and warm
temperatures. Northwesterlies about Marlborough and inland Canterbury
may be gusty. There is the chance of a southerly wind change late
afternoon and evening for coastal areas of South Cantebury through to
about Banks Peninsula. This may bring some cloud and a few showers,
inland areas remain mostly clear with northwesterlies.
Likely afternoon Temp: 24 to 26 degrees (warm)

West Coast
Morning rain possible heavy then easing to showers in the afternoon as
northerlies change westerly.
Likely afternoon Temp: 16 to 17 degrees (mild)

Southland, Otago
A period of morning showers about Southland and Otago then clearing for a time with light winds, south
to southwesterly winds push through in the afternoon bringing further
showers possibly heavy in the east then clearing evening. The Southern
Lakes region is likely to be mostly cloudy during the day with showers
spreading from the west at times, winds will be from the west or
Likely afternoon Temp: 17 to 20 degrees (mild)

Living in Wairoa, Northern Hawkes Bay

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